Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Eli Lilly Rev Recognition needs a relook

Apple got the change done but lilly.com shows up a glaring financial misstatement in the December 2009 for Byetta! 60 doses used over a month and rev rec recognises only $448 million sales over a year against 2009 sales of $796 million!

Byetta

Lilly recognizes in revenue its 50 percent share of Byetta's gross margin in the U.S., 100 percent of Byetta sales outside the U.S., and its sales of Byetta pen delivery devices to its partner, Amylin Pharmaceuticals. For the fourth quarter, Lilly recognized total revenue of $120.5 million for Byetta, an increase of 17 percent.

Worldwide sales of Byetta were $203.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2009, a 9 percent increase compared with the fourth quarter of 2008, driven by growth in international markets. U.S. sales of Byetta increased 1 percent to $163.7 million compared with the fourth quarter of 2008, while sales of Byetta outside the U.S. were $39.9 million.

For the full-year of 2009, worldwide Byetta sales increased 6 percent to $796.5 million. U.S. Byetta sales for 2009 decreased 2 percent to $667.6 million, while sales outside the U.S. increased 77 percent to $128.9 million. For the full-year of 2009, Lilly recognized revenue totaling $448.5 million, representing a 13 percent increase compared with 2008.


Similarily other drugs in partnership:

Erbitux

Lilly recognizes net royalties received from its Erbitux collaboration partners and revenue from manufactured product sold to these partners. For the fourth quarter, Lilly recognized total revenue of $95.0 million for Erbitux. For the full-year of 2009, Lilly recognized total Erbitux revenue of $390.8 million.

Effient(TM)

Worldwide Effient sales were $3.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2009. U.S. Effient sales were $1.4 million. Sales outside the U.S. were $2.4 million. The product is in the early phases of launch in both the U.S. and Europe. Lilly and its partner, Daiichi Sankyo, continue to make good progress in gaining reimbursement and access for the product.

For the full-year of 2009, worldwide Effient sales were $27.0 million. U.S. Effient sales for 2009 were $22.5 million. Sales outside the U.S. were $4.5 million.


Meanwhile Forteo sales and other local Lilly productions scoot on harder ground except for forex translations

Humulin

Worldwide Humulin sales increased 4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, to $273.0 million. U.S. sales increased 1 percent to $102.5 million. Sales outside the U.S. increased 6 percent, to $170.5 million, driven by increased demand and the favorable impact of foreign exchange rates, partially offset by lower prices.

For the full-year of 2009, worldwide Humulin sales decreased 4 percent to $1.022 billion. U.S. Humulin sales for 2009 were $402.4 million, a 6 percent increase driven by higher prices, partially offset by lower demand. Humulin sales outside the U.S. were $619.6 million, a 9 percent decrease driven by the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange rates and, to a lesser extent, lower prices, partially offset by increased demand.

Forteo

Fourth-quarter sales of Forteo were $212.8 million, a 9 percent increase compared with the fourth quarter of 2008. U.S. sales of Forteo increased 3 percent, to $129.4 million, driven by higher prices, partially offset by lower demand. Sales outside the U.S. increased 20 percent, to $83.5 million, due to higher prices and the favorable impact of foreign exchange rates.

For the full-year of 2009, worldwide Forteo sales increased 5 percent to $816.7 million. U.S. Forteo sales for 2009 were $518.3 million, a 6 percent increase driven by higher prices, partially offset by lower demand. Forteo sales outside the U.S. were $298.4 million, a 3 percent increase driven by increased demand and increased prices, partially offset by the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange rates.

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Pfizer, Roche disappoint street

Pfizer results include Wyeth Labs for the first time but street expected mrore from the combined topline, profits
Marketwatch

Pfizer Inc. reported higher fourth-quarter earnings Wednesday, with its top line boosted by recent the drugmaker's merger with Wyeth as profit also benefited from the absence of a major year-ago charge related to its recalled pain reliever Bextra.

Pfizer (PFE 18.59, -0.65, -3.38%) also issued a financial forecast that fell below analysts' estimates for earnings. Shares of Pfizer, part of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, traded down 2% to $18.68 shortly after the opening bell.

For the December quarter, Pfizer posted net income of $767 million, or 10 cents a share, up from $266 million, or 4 cents, earned in the final three months of 2008.

The year-ago quarter saw the New York-based company take $2.3 billion in charges related to resolution of investigations into Bextra and certain other products.




Stock float rose to 7.85 billion shares up by 1.1 billion shares, with Quarterly topline at $16.54 billion agst 12.5 billion standalone a year back. The $65 billion revenue megalith was shaky about 2010 prospects with 2010 earnings adj to $2.10 to $2.20 (topline of 67-69 b) scaling back its own estimates. they shd just making forward staements till they have an idea. 2012 forecasts for a similar topline/ revenue promise cost controls with EPS of $2.25-2.35 from 66-68billion sales

Analysts were somehow expecting $2.27 for 2010 and $2.22 in 2012 Dividend for the 1st quarter at 18c is back from 16c but is down from 32 c before cash was saved up for Wyeth

ROCHE's 'honeymoon' with the flu is over as Tamiflu sales recede from here

Roche Holding on Wednesday reported a 4% rise in second-half profit, buoyed by sales of flu medication Tamiflu and eye-disease drug Lucentis as sales growth slowed toward the end of the year.

Though the company didn't provide second-half results, MarketWatch calculated Roche's (CH:ROG 179.20, -1.40, -0.78%) profit rose to 4.31 billion Swiss francs ($4 billion) from 4.15 billion francs, while sales rose to 25.05 billion francs from 23.61 billion francs.

During the fourth quarter, total sales rose just 3%, as sales of its top selling drug, Avastin, slowed to 9% on a constant-currency basis, with MabThera sales flat and Herceptin sales up just 2%. All three are cancer medications.

The company expects 2010 sales to grow in a mid-single-digit range at constant currencies -- excluding Tamiflu sales -- compared to 10% growth by that measure in 2009, and Roche sees core earnings per share up by a double-digit level compared to 20% growth in 2009.

Tamiflu sales are seen falling to 1.2 billion francs from 3.2 billion francs as worries over pandemic flu recede.

Sunday, January 31, 2010

GAVI Alliance

With Novartis staying away from pro bono giveaways of its vaccination and social health products, GAVI's ten years of existence have a special proud moment for it. The Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization including WHO , UNICEF and the Gates Foundation was launched at the WEF in January 2000

When GAVI was publicly launched at the World Economic Forum in January 2000, immunisation rates in the world’s poorest countries were in decline and there was slow progress in introducing new vaccines against Hepatitis B and Yellow Fever.

Over the past 10 years, the Alliance has played a catalytic role in reversing these trends. Drawing on the specialized skills and knowledge of the leading public and private stakeholders in immunisation, from UNICEF and WHO to the Vaccine Industry and the World Bank, GAVI has:

- Funded the delivery of life-saving vaccines to 250 million children
- Averted five million future deaths
- Helped push immunisation rates in poor counties to an unprecedented 80% average
- Reduced the time lag between introducing new vaccines like Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) and Hepatitis B, into poorer countries
In Nov 2006, the International Finance Facility for Immunizations issued the first vaccine bonds and claim to serve billions thru innovative financing and not millions.

Gates Foundation on Emerging Markets

VACCINATION PROGRAM

Endorsing vaccines as the world’s most cost-effective public health measure, Bill and Melinda Gates said Friday that their foundation would more than double its spending on them over the next decade, to at least $10 billion.

The change could save the lives of as many as eight million children by 2020, Mr. Gates calculated. He said he hoped his gift would inspire other charities and donor nations to do the same.

The commitment is the largest ever made by a foundation, according to the Chronicle of Philanthropy, which noted that $10 billion is slightly more than the total worth of the Ford Foundation, the country’s second largest. The Gates Foundation, created in 1999 with the fortune that Mr. Gates made from Microsoft, has about $34 billion in assets; it has already spent $4.5 billion on vaccines.

“Vaccines are a real success story,” Mr. Gates said in an interview before the announcement, which he made at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. “The cost is tiny, and yet it saves more lives than any other component of a health care system.”

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Novartis December 2009 results

Great work by NVS, but it is still overpaying for Alcon while in a very infortunate attempt, mistreating the remaining minority interest in Alcon. Nestle walks away with close to $40 bn for ALCON

Novartis has already paid $11billion to Nestle last year for 25% and has agreed to pay another $28billion for 52% in Alcon still with Nestle. Hwvr, the remianing minority shareholders want the same or a fair deal while NVS expects a deep discount on the remaining

Results for December from the NY times

Drug maker Novartis (NYSE:NVS) AG on Tuesday reported a 54 percent rise in fourth-quarter net profit to $2.32 billion on strong sales and favorable exchange rates, and announced the appointment of Joe Jimenez as its new chief executive.

Earnings per share rose 53 percent to $1.01 from $0.66 in the same quarter of 2008, when Novartis posted a net profit of $1.51 billion, the company said.

Sales of its products, which include the hypertension drug Diovan and anticancer drug Glivec -- known as Gleevec in the United States, rose 28 percent to $12.93 billion in the September-December period from $10.08 billion the previous year.

"The fourth quarter has been especially strong," outgoing CEO Daniel Vasella told reporters in a conference call, noting that Novartis benefited from better exchange rates and the shipment of large orders of swine flu vaccine in the final three months of 2009.



Interestingly, as mentioned otherwise as well, NVS did pursue a patent centric strategy and lost much blood in India/elsewhere. In the vaccines market also it refuses to get into emerging market specific pricing like GSK giving away free vaccines etc.

Also its $3.5 billion Diovan (2005) runs out of patent in 2012 . It has been creating Hypertension / BP reducing extensions, esp one with Pfizer..It also has a vaccine coy purchase from 2005. It expects Galvus to give $2 b in sales by then in the Type 2 Diabetes market. Indian drugmakers and others have also marked down NVS' Gleevec for patent challenges. Gleevec is its high volume drug in Cancer with another $3b in sales


Novartis is also going after the diabetes market with Galvus, a once-daily oral treatment for type 2 diabetes. Analysts project that the drug, filed in March, could hit $2.1 billion in sales by 2012, as it competes with Merck’s Januvia.

The biggest drug approval news for Novartis came from the generic division, which received clearance in the U.S. and EU for Omnitrope, which is not a biogeneric, but a ‘follow-on version of a previously approved recombinant biotechnology drug.’ That approval may open the door to a new era of follow-on biologics, as more of the pioneer biodrugs show their age.

ACQUISITIONS

Target: Chiron Corp.
Price: $5.4 billion
Announced: May 2006

Target: NeuTec Pharma
Price: $569 million
Announced: June 2006
More Vax

In September 2005, Novartis bid to acquire beleaguered biopharma/vaccine/blood testing company Chiron for approximately $5.1 billion, a sum representing the 58% of shares that Novartis didn’t already own. The deal finally closed at $5.4 billion, giving Novartis a position in the vaccines field, a $10.8 billion market that analysts project will grow at an annual 20% clip in the next five years.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Sanofi Aventis merger

This extract from marketwatch of Dec 21 Mkt Open


French pharmaceutical Sanofi-Aventis on Monday struck a deal to buy Chattem Inc. for $1.9 billion in a bid to expand its presence in over-the-counter and consumer brands.

Sanofi (SNY 38.80, -0.31, -0.79%) (FR:SAN 54.20, -0.50, -0.91%) said it will pay $93.50 in cash for each share of Chattem (CHTT 69.98, +1.29, +1.88%) -- a 34% premium to Friday's closing price and a 44% premium to the shares' six-month average price.

Chattanooga, Tenn.-based Chattem's brands include Gold Bond, Icy Hot, ACT, Cortizone-10, Selsun Blue and Unisom.

For Sanofi, this deal will mark the first time it's been directly in the U.S. over-the-counter market. Sanofi also will seek to convert Allegra, its popular antihistamine treatment, from a prescription drug to an OTC product.

Once the drug becomes OTC, Chattem will distribute it.

CHTT 69.98, +1.29, +1.88%

and CEO Zan Guerry and other senior managers have agreed to lead Sanofi's U.S. consumer health division once the deal is completed, Sanofi said.

Earlier Monday, Sanofi gave an update on its pipeline, as it's stopping development of drugs for insomnia and atrial fibrillation but having received fast-track designation from the Food and Drug Administration for a potential treatment for prostate cancer.

Analysts at Jefferies & Co. said the updates result in the loss of 1% of estimated 2015 revenue.


Thursday, December 10, 2009

Mergers got ahead of the real folks gone under - ho ho ho

The Reuters bangalore team, recently helped this story on the pharma majors' mergers

U.S. securities regulators are investigating at least nine mergers, including Pfizer Inc's takeover of Wyeth and Merck & Co Inc's acquisition of Schering-Plough Corp, for possible insider-trading violations, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

The Securities and Exchange Commission is probing whether deal advisers and traders illegally shared confidential information, the paper said, noting that the agency had sent out about three dozen subpoenas to hedge funds and brokerages.

It was looking at other pharmaceutical deals including Abbott Laboratories Inc's acquisition of Advanced Medical Optics and Eli Lilly & Co's buyout of ImClone Systems, the paper reported.

The Journal also said the SEC is asking questions about trading around retailer Best Buy Co Inc's 2008 acquisition of Napster Inc, investment firm Triarc Cos' acquisition of Wendy's International Inc and Ansys Inc's takeover of Ansoft Corp.

It was not clear whether the subpoenas were related to the insider-trading case unveiled in October involving New York hedge fund Galleon Group, the paper said.

The Journal said some of the recent subpoenas focus on specifics of investment bankers' involvement in deals, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc bankers' roles in roughly a dozen health-care transactions since 2006.

Goldman was an adviser to Schering-Plough and Pfizer, according to filings cited by the Journal.

"Goldman Sachs has robust policies and procedures in place to detect suspicious trading activity. If we detect suspicious activity of any kind, as required by law, we report it to the appropriate authorities," a company spokesman told the paper.

The Journal said representatives for Eli Lilly, Napster and Wendy's/Arby's Group declined to comment and that a spokesman for JER Partners said the firm cooperated with an SEC inquiry involving the Genesis HealthCare deal in 2007, but JER Partners has not heard from the SEC this year. He told the paper Genesis executives were contacted by the SEC this year, but it was not clear whether that inquiry was connected to the recent subpoenas.

(NO EDGAR REPORTS, JUST THE VERB FROM REU


via Reuters SEC report